December 3, 2011

SPY Weekend update

  • Price is reacting negatively from 200 SMA and the resistance line.
  • For Bulls price has to stay above 200 SMA for continuing the current up move.
  • MACD is looking good for some more up side But price has to support bulls by breaking above the resistance line and 200 SMA.
  • This entire up move is a corrective one for the fall from 134 levels and this up move is not supported by an increase in volume as shown in the last chart. Hope for bulls is a breakout above 200 SMA along with volume spike. If that does not happen bears will be in control soon.

NIFTY Weekend Update

  • Price has closed above 50 Day SMA. MACD is showing a good buy signal.
  • For bulls price is approaching a cluster of resistance in the form of Week High EMA, 20 Week SMA and the Golden ratio which might succeed in slowing down price momentum.
  • If 50 SMA continue to hold we may see price breaking the resistance levels mentioned above.
  • Bears would be hoping that price gets resisted near golden ratio and close below 50 Day SMA. 
  • So in short if bulls are able to face the approaching resistance levels and protect 50 SMA then this rally will gain further momentum on the upside.

December 2, 2011

ES Support line and 50 Hour SMA

CHART-II (UPDATED)
  • Price has broken below 50 Hour SMA and the support line shown in hour chart. Daily chart too shows a bearish candle at the resistance line which confirms weakness in higher time frames. We might see some correction next week.
CHART-I
  • For bears price has to break below the support line and 50 Hour SMA.
  • Price sustaining above 50 Hour SMA will result in another up move.

APPLE Testing 50 Day SMA

  • Apple having taken support at 200 SMA has moved towards 50 Day SMA.
  • Daily closing above 50 Day SMA will help Bulls to extend this rally.
  • APPLE WEEKEND UPDATE


CRUDE OIL Channel and Resistance line

  • Crude oil daily is moving up in a channel.
  • But price in weekly chart is trading near major resistance lines.
  • Major breakout in Crude oil will be possible only if price takes out the resistance line from 147.
  • Bearish candles at these levels may give good short trades in crude oil.
  • See MCX Crude oil chart below this post

S&P 500 Futures Trend update

  • Hour charts are not showing any weakness yet.
  • Price is trending up above 50 Hour SMA and Hourly cloud.
  • Resistance line in four hour chart too has broken in favor of bulls
  • Next hurdle for bulls is the resistance line in daily chart. Breaking that will strengthen bulls further.

NIFTY Four hour chart

NIFTY FIBONACCI LEVELS
CHART-II (UPDATE)
CHART-I
  • Price staying above 50 Period sma of this time frame will favor bulls.
  • First attempt to breakout above 200 period SMA faced resistance.
  • For bears price should stay below 200 period SMA, if a breakout happens a bigger up move is possible.