September 7, 2011

ES Trend Update

  • Price is not showing any weakness in both short time frames like 15 Minutes or in Four hour chart.
  • Bears shall hope that 200 period moving average stop this move. If it does not stop there then price may move towards the resistance line shown in last chart.
  • SILVER @ 50 SMA

Bearish Engulfing of GOLD

  • GOLD Bearish engulfing pattern is giving good gains for bears of gold.
  • But a double top kind of correction may be possible only if the trend line shown in the second chart gets broken.
  • 1726 and 1702 levels may also act as support.
  • SILVER TESTING 50 SMA

SILVER Testing 50 SMA

  • SILVER is testing its 50 Day Simple Moving Average.
  • Recent attempts to close below 50 SMA has not been successful.
  • There is a trend line support too below 50 SMA as shown in the second chart.
  • So a big breakdown may happen only if price falls below the supporting trend line shown in second chart.
  • BEARISH ENGULFING OF GOLD

ES Resistance levels

  • Price is about to retrace 50% of the fall from 1229.
  • This up move will sustain if price stays above 50 period moving average and the 50% Fib level.
  • If price breaks above 50 period sma then it may go till 200 period sma in four hour time frame.
  • S&P 500 ANALYSIS AFTER CLOSING BELL

GOLD Support level

  • Attempt of GOLD to stay above 1912 has failed.
  • Now the correction is taking it to its support level between 1807 - 1823
  • Gold is trading in a broad range of 1726 - 1912.
  • S&P 500 ANALYSIS AFTER CLOSING BELL

NIFTY Moving towards Resistance line

  • As discussed in the below chart price made it to the resistance line. Now for this up move to continue it should stay above the resistance line of the broadening pattern.
  • Nifty Futures will favor bears only if it falls below 5070 levels.
CHART-I
  • Nifty hour chart moving in channels and moving inside a bigger pattern.
  • Price is moving towards the resistance line of a broadening pattern. It is also an Inverted HNS pattern.
  • Hour with MACD is starting to diverge But price may go up some more before it take effect.

NIFTY Daily Analysis

  • Price action is favoring bulls for the short term.
  • If price stays above 38.2% (5110) Fib level then  5 Week High EMA will be the first target.
  • Price sustaining above 20 DMA will help bulls to extend gains.
  • The Unfilled GAP near 5230 levels and 50% Fib level may act as resistance if nifty gets there.
  • Bears need to hope for a break below 5 day Low EMA and a daily close below 23.6% Fib level.
  • US DOLLAR VIOLATING RESISTANCE LINE
  • S&P 500 EOD ANALYSIS

S&P 500 Analysis after closing bell

  • Price action and the candlestick for the day is suggesting a long trade.
  • Bulls has to get back above 20 Day SMA for continuing this bounce from the support line.
  • USDCHF BREAKOUT
  • US DOLLAR VIOLATING RESISTANCE LINE