December 8, 2011

  • Gold four hour chart is testing its support level near 1700.
  • This level has acted as support in hourly chart recently.
  • Daily chart too shows price near the supporting trend line. So bigger correction will be possible only if the supporting trend line gets taken out decisively.
  • ES CORRECTION AFTER NEGATIVE DIVERGENCE


CHART-II
  • MACD negative divergence discussed below has given a correction in favor of bears.
  • Four hour candle closing near the lows may turn the trend in favor of bears
CHART-I
  • ES one hour chart is showing price in a small range.
  • Four hour chart is showing a possible negative divergence setup with MACD indicator which might result in a fall.
  • Daily chart shows price stuck between 200 SMA and the resistance line. A decisive move out of this range should result in the next big move.
  • US DOLLAR ANALYSIS
  • It's a correction in an up move as long as 4900 - 4920 levels are not broken. Beyond the correction may get deeper.
  • An ascending broadening wedge pattern is getting formed. Pattern is not complete yet 3 touches on the resistance and support line would make an effective pattern. Its a bearish pattern target on break down would be the starting point of the supporting trend line.
  • Important support in hour chart is at 4916. Breaking the trend line and 4916 level on closing basis will favor bears.
  • Price is pausing after an up move. The last chart shows 5 Day High EMA trying to cross 50 Day SMA. At this stage if price price stay above 5 Day high EMA on closing basis this up move will continue to gain strength.
  • Weakness can be seen if price does not hold above 5 Day High EMA or a close below 50 Day SMA.
  • 50 Day SMA at 5017
  • 5 Day High EMA at 5025
  • US DOLLAR ANALYSIS

  • Price is showing a consolidation triangle pattern in four hour chart which may give good direction on breakout.
  • USD will trade sideways to negative if it stays below 50 Period SMA.. Breakout below 200 SMA or above 50 period SMA can give good direction..

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"All through time, people have basically acted and reacted the same way in the market as a result of: greed, fear, ignorance, and hope. That is why the numerical formations and patterns recur on a constant basis."
—Jesse Livermore