June 23, 2015

  • Crude oil daily chart shows a possible ascending triangle pattern. Price is moving in a range. If the rising trend line is held an upper breakout is possible. If the trend line is broken price will remain inside the range. Weakness only if the cloud and 23.6% fib level gets broken. 

  • Apple near the apex of a contraction pattern. Price likely to make a big move soon.
  • 100 Day SMA is the crucial support. Apple bears need price to sustain below this line and the pattern support line shown above.

  • Trying to explain how New and experienced traders look at an indicator. 
  • First chart shows RSI reaching oversold zone Here new traders anticipate a reversal without seeing or confirming one Then Price makes a new low. New traders stop loss hits here and smart money makes a buy. If you see the second chart the oversold RSI trade did give profits but not before shaking out new traders.
  • Having Said that in a down trend if you Jump in on a new low thinking smart Money is going to come in your pain will increase as in a trending market the oversold or overbought condition sustain for a longer time. That's why you need to confirm reversals always with price action.


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My Favourite Quote

"All through time, people have basically acted and reacted the same way in the market as a result of: greed, fear, ignorance, and hope. That is why the numerical formations and patterns recur on a constant basis."
—Jesse Livermore