March 2, 2011

  • Crude oil weekly chart with the fall from 147.90 to 33.19 levels.
  • Price has retraced till the Golden ratio(61.8%).
  • For price to move up it should break this level. 78.6% is at 123 levels. 
  • Price should sustain above 61.8% for moving towards 123 levels. Getting resisted here will be negative for Crude Oil.
  • ES Hour has given a bearish engulfing pattern.
  • Price trading below and breaking 1296 will favor bears.
  • Price above 1313.50 will negate the bearishness and will favor bulls.
  • ES Hour is trending down below the cloud.
  • Hour is showing a small bear flag pattern which can extend the gains for bears If the low 1296 gets violated again.
  • Bulls can regain momentum only if they manage to break the cloud and close above it which may not be possible in the short term.
  • Price closing below 5458 will be negative for the bulls.
  • Price if sustains above 5530 it may target 5654.
  • Weekly line chart shows no higher low formation yet. Such formation may give a sustained up move.


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"All through time, people have basically acted and reacted the same way in the market as a result of: greed, fear, ignorance, and hope. That is why the numerical formations and patterns recur on a constant basis."
—Jesse Livermore