December 12, 2011

  • Gold has given a breakdown from the triangle pattern in daily time frame.
  • Price is testing its 200 Day SMA.
  • Last fall to this level was followed by a corrective up move. But this time if daily candle manages to close below 200 SMA We may see deeper cut in gold prices.

  • Price is testing 200 Hour SMA.
  • Hour chart is showing support near 123.22.
  • If 200 SMA or 123.22 level holds an up move is possible.
  • 20 and 50 hour SMA is showing a bearish crossover But for bears price need to fall below 123.22 level to extend gains.
  • Hour chart shows a fast fall in action. 50 Hour SMA is struggling to cross above 200 Hour SMA resulting in a fast fall. If price does not turn around soon then the recent lows might get tested again.
  • Breakdown of the supporting trend line in hour chart has given a good down move. If the day closes near the lows then important support levels will be tested again.
  • There is positive divergence in lower time frames But price has to confirm by a higher close which has not happened yet.

  • For bulls of nifty price has to close above 20 SMA. Price sustaining below 20 SMA will favor bears.
  • 20 SMA is at 4920.
  • Week Low EMA is at 4837 which may act as support level, Breaking below 4837 may push nifty towards the weekly support levels again.
  • So for bulls price should hold above Week low EMA and break above 20 Day SMA.
  • Line chart shows price getting resisted at previous support Resistance level. This level should be crossed for a bigger up move to happen.
  • Resistance for SPY in daily chart are the 200 SMA and the Top bollinger band.
  • Price closing above 200 SMA and above the Top Bollinger band may give a sustained up move.
  • For bears price need to break below 20 and 50 SMA. Indicators like stochastic has reached overbought levels, If price closes below crucial moving averages SPY may star to slide.


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"All through time, people have basically acted and reacted the same way in the market as a result of: greed, fear, ignorance, and hope. That is why the numerical formations and patterns recur on a constant basis."
—Jesse Livermore