August 21, 2011

S&P 500 Weekend update

  • All time frames still favoring bears.
  • Hope for bulls is the recent low 1101.
  • If that level holds we may see a bounce.
  • If price stays above 50 and 100 Hour moving average one may stay long for a bounce.
  • Price below 50 Hour moving average will favor bears. 
  • If a bounce happens 20 Day moving average is the next resistance level. Larger up move will be possible only if price starts to trade above 20 DMA.
  • S&P 500 CLOSED BELOW 200 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE

NIFTY Weekend Update

  • Trend of nifty is still down.
  • No reversal pattern in sight yet.
  • Daily indicators are still strongly favoring bears.
  • But this is an extended fall so if price reverses we may get a decent bounce.
  • So one shall look for reversal candles in daily time frame next week to go long. 
  • Price should also stay above the channel drawn in daily time frame for a decent bounce to happen.
  • It is difficult to pick a number, But the level one has to watch is between 4750 - 4800.
  • SUZLON ENERGY ANALYSIS
  • S&P 500 WEEKEND UPDATE

August 20, 2011

Bearish Engulfing of APPLE

  • Apple has given two bearish engulfing patterns in weekly chart. We saw a Pin bar reversal candle at the top of the trend too.
  • Daily chart has closed the day below 50 day moving average.
  • Weekly indicators are also showing bearish things to come. Stochastic has triggered a sell. 
  • Weekly MACD is likely to give a sell in the coming week.
  • Only hope for bulls is the weekly trend line which has to be broken by bears for the long term trend to change.
  • So in all likelihood we are looking at the top of apple for sometime to come. Provided bears manage to break the weekly trend line.
  • S&P 500 CLOSED BELOW 200 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE

S&P 500 Closed below 200 Week Moving average

  • SPX closed the week below its 200 week moving average.
  • Last weeks candle violated this level but was able to close above it. But this weeks candle closed below it.
  • Its looking bad for bulls, If the recent lows are taken out then targets are much lower. I will be doing a detailed weekend update on SPX later.
  • BEARISH ENGULFING OF AAPL

August 19, 2011

SLV Moving towards Channel Top

  • SLV Daily chart is moving towards the channel resistance.
  • Resistance line is approximately between 41.70 - 41.80 level.
  • SLV is likely to get resisted at this channel. Daily close above this line will change the above scenario.

APPLE Support line and 50 SMA

  • AAPL Testing 50 Day SMA again. Last fall to this level took support there.
  • Four hour chart also shows a possible support line.
  • Breach of both these levels can give good correction for apple.
  • If price holds 50 day SMA  then stock will move up to 380 levels again.
  • TRIANGLE OF MSFT

Triangle of MICROSOFT

  • MSFT Week is near support line of the triangle pattern.
  • Daily chart has not formed a bottom formation yet. Price in daily chart is still below 50 day moving average.
  • Since Price is close to the weekly support line one can look for a reversal pattern in daily chart to enter long in MSFT.
  • If the support line of the triangle breaks down it will be a shorting opportunity.
  • NEGATIVE DIVERGENCE OF GOLD