August 17, 2011

False Breakout of Silver, ES, SPY and Crude Oil

  • Its a day of false breakouts.
  • Silver did an upper breakout from its rising wedge and gave a correction
  • Crude oil false breakout was from an ascending triangle pattern.
  • SPY and ES did gave false breakouts from the rectangles in which they were trading. Price is moving in the opposite direction.
  • Usually price moves well in the opposite direction after a false breakout. ES and SPY are doing it, But silver is trying for an upper breakout again.

CISCO Resistance level

  • Cisco is finding it hard to cross 100 DMA.
  • Rally of July was stopped at 100 DMA.
  • Rally started in this month is also hitting resistance at 100 DMA.
  • Up move will be possible only if price closes above this moving average. If it does not happen soon another correction will follow.

US Dollar Testing support levels

  • US Dollar daily chart is testing its support level at 73.515
  • If daily candle closes below this level then the next support is at 72.860.

SLV Hour chart analysis


  • SLV hour is showing a possible rising wedge pattern
  • Price is trending up above 20 Hour moving average.
  • If price starts to trade below 20 Hour moving average we may see an extended correction from the rising wedge.
  • US DOLLAR TESTING SUPPORT LEVELS

COPPER Support and Resistance levels

  • Copper hour is trading in a range from 3.9333 to 4.0635.
  • Bigger moves will be possible only if this range gets broken.
  • Till then selling at the top of the range and buying near support area can be done.

Rising Wedge of SILVER

  • Silver four hour chart is showing a bearish rising wedge pattern.
  • One can try to remain short from the hourly chart.
  • Price falling below 50 Hour moving average will favor bears. Bigger fall below 200 Hour moving average.
  • Rising wedge will become invalid if the resistance line gets broken.
  • US DOLLAR TESTING SUPPORT LEVELS

S&P 500 Futures stuck in a range

CHART-III UPDATED

CHART-II UPDATED
  • ES has given a breakout from the range. Price sustaining above 1202 will favor bulls to extend the up move.
CHART-I
  • ES is stuck in a range between 1177 - 1202
  • Price is also moving around 50 Hour moving average for quite sometime now.
  • So a breakout or breakdown from this range which means moving away from this moving average may result in a bigger move for ES.
  • GOOG FALLS BELOW 50 DMA
  • S&P 500 ANALYSIS AFTER CLOSING BELL