May 4, 2012

ES Ichimoku cloud update



  • ES has fallen below all three major time frames - Daily, Four hour and one hour charts.


S&P 500 Support levels


  • SPX Four hour chart with 1377 - 1378 as possible support.
  • Four hour chart also shows 200 period SMA near this level.
  • one hour candles closing below this level will add to the bearishness. 
  • Bounce from this level may take spx above 1385 levels again.


S&P 500 Futures chart analysis


  • ES One hour chart is trading below 50 and 200 Hour SMA.
  • Last chart is the four hour time frame which shows price below crucial support resistance level and getting resisted at 200 period SMA.
  • Price sustaining below 50% Fib level will push price down towards the Golden ratio.



USDINR Negative Divergence


  • USDINR Weekly chart is showing negative divergence with MACD indicator.
  • Without correction in price divergence will not be useful.
  • Price has to trade below 20 SMA for possible weakness. 
  • Up trend will be safe above the daily cloud.



CRUDE OIL Chart update

  • Price has violated the rising support line shown in an earlier post.
  • 100.68 is the next crucial support. Trading below it may take Crude oil towards the 38.2% Fibonacci level.
  • Weekly chart is showing price below the middle bollinger band. A Weekly close below this level will  favor the bears of Crude oil for the coming week.


NIFTY Daily chart update


  • Nifty below 200 Day SMA.
  • Price testing 50% Fibonacci level. More damage on breaking and closing below 50% Fibonacci level.
  • Daily close below 200 SMA will strengthen bears.


NIFTY Intraday chart updated

CHART-II
  • Price sustaining below 5135 will favor bears to extend the fall.
  • Weekly and daily close below 5135 will strengthen  bears.  For bulls an intraday up move to close above 5150 levels may save them from  bigger fall.
CHART-I
  • One hour chart shows price near the falling support line.
  • Four hour chart shows price below the cloud and near the crucial low of 5135. For a trending down move to happen nifty must sustain below 5135.