September 23, 2011

GOLD falling into the Weekly Channel

  • Gold is trying to Re enter the weekly channel.
  • Price has broken 50 Day Moving average and is testing its 100 Day Moving average.
  • We may see a bounce if 100 DAY SMA holds. Bearish momentum is high so longs will be risky.
  • In the medium term price may try to enter the Weekly channel shown in the first chart and continue the steady up move staying within this channel.
  • ES POSITIVE DIVERGENCE

SILVER breakdown below 50 Week SMA

  • SILVER Breaks below 50 week moving average.
  • 32.30 level may act as support for sometime.
  • If 32.30 goes then silver may target 50% Fibonacci retrace level for the rise from 8.44 to 49 levels.
  • ES POSITIVE DIVERGENCE

S&P 500 Futures Hour chart analysis

  • ES Hour is moving down in a channel
  • Cloud is shown in 30 Minutes time frame. Cloud is acting as resistance. Price breaking and sustaining above it may give good up move.
  • 30 Minutes is also showing divergence with MACD yet to confirm by price.
  • For bulls price should break above the channel for a sustained up move to happen.

NIFTY Channel resistance

  • Price closing above Week low ema may give some relief for bulls.
  • Next supports are at 4890 and 4815 levels.
  • Price got rejected at the middle channel. This could just be a bottom formation in weekly time frame as long as there is no wild falls. When the bottom formation completes the middle channel will be broken.

SILVER - Target for breakdown

  • Silver has violated its trend line in daily chart.
  • Price is moving down towards its 50 Week moving average.
  • So First target could be around 34.50 levels approximately.
  • Week closing below 50 week moving average could bring more down falls for silver.
  • USO TARGET FOR THE BREAKDOWN

September 22, 2011

USO - Target for the breakdown

  • USO Moving down towards 30.31
  • Breaking below 30.31 will add momentum for bears.
  • GOLD BREAKS 50 SMA

ES Oversold But may continue to fall

  • ES enters oversold level as shown with stochastic readings.
  • But as shown with the ellipses Price continue to fall till stochastic turned up above 20% line.
  • So now the only hope for bulls is that price is close to the bottom of the range. If stochastic turns up above 20% line we may see es taking support.
  • Breaking below 1110 levels can add strength to this fall. Its a steep fall, Price momentum is high so the probability of ES taking support here is very low.
  • AAPL NEGATIVE DIVERGENCE
  • S&P 500 ANALYSIS AFTER CLOSING BELL