September 1, 2010

Nifty daily chart analysis

  • Nifty is forming another broadening formation. Broadening formations are mostly bearish patterns.
  • Nifty yesterday violated 50 DMA. But came back to close above it.
  • 5350 region is crucial as shown in the last chart. If nifty goes below 5350 chances of breaking the support line mentioned in the 3rd charts is higher.

Dow Jones analysis after closing bell

  • Dow Jones is showing a range of 223 points in hourly chart with 9936 as support and 10159 as the resistance.
  • 9936 level has given support 3 times now. 
  • Hour chart is also showing a head and shoulders pattern.
  • Daily chart nearly did a Doji day today. Last hour of trading was extremely tough for both bulls and bears, and in the end the day ended with very little change.
  • 20 DMA and 50 DMA is converging so we can expect some action in the coming day's.

Dow Jones Hourly chart analysis

CHART - II
  • Range of 9936 - 10159 breaks out towards the upside. Minimum target is 10350. But Dow jones at the moment is up by more than 2.50%, so try to enter long trade if a pull back happens.
CHART - I

  • Dow Jones hour chart is showing a range of 10159 - 9936.
  • 223 points towards the breakout point. But the direction may not be that easy to predict.
  • 9936 area has given support 3 times. So an hourly close below this level may not be good news for the bulls.
  • If index gets support at the lower end of the range a good rally towards the upside is possible. 
  • Most important wait for the range to break and give  clear direction before entering into a trade

August 31, 2010

Dow Jones futures before opening bell

CHART - I
  • Dow Futures broke 9965 and gave a long trade as discussed below.
  • Now next resistance is at 10064 above that may rally towards the channel resistance line.
CHART - II
  • Dow Jones futures breaking 9965 was negative for the bulls.
  • Now if the index trades above 9965 convincingly a long trade is possible

Nifty Futures Intraday Update

CHART - II
  • Nifty bounces from 5360 levels as discussed below.

CHART - I

  • Nifty futures may give a long trade from 5360 levels.
  • One can keep a stop loss of 5346 for this trade.

NIFTY daily chart analysis

  • Nifty did a gap up on Monday but faced selling pressure throughout the day and closed near the recent lows.
  • the index has closed below 20 DMA. It is testing 50 DMA. Closing below 50 DMA will test important support areas.
  • U.S. markets also ended in the negative territory which may give a gap down for us.
  • S&P 500 analysis after closing bell

S&P 500 end of day analysis

  • Upper trend line of the channel seems to be too strong to break.
  • Most of the gains made by the bulls on Friday has been taken off 
  • Now the 20 DMA and 50 DMA is ready to give a negative cross over. So some more down side possible.
  • The direction will be decided once the range in hourly chart discussed earlier in this post gives direction