July 28, 2010

Triangle of Dow Jones

UPDATED CHART
  • Triangle has broken on the down side. If this is not a false break down the index can come down at least till 10450.
  • 15 minutes chart of Dow Jones is forming a triangle pattern.
  • Since the index is trading at previous high a pause or a negative move is possible before making new high's.

Cup and handle of Nifty

UPDATED CHART
  • THE CUP AND HANDLE PATTERN IS BECOMING WEAKER.
  • THE HANDLE SHOULD NOT COME DOWN SO FAR.


  • Nifty hour is forming a beautiful cup and handle pattern.
  • The handle is yet to give a break out on the upside
  • One can expect a 100 point move if everything goes according to the rules of cup and handle pattern.
  • And one more thing is that we have a raising wedge in daily char which is a bearish pattern. So one should consider the bigger picture before taking a trade based on the above chart.
  • NIFTY DAILY CHART ANALYSIS

Triangles of Reliance Industries

RELIANCE DAILY CHART
RELIANCE WEEKLY CHART
  • Reliance has broken down from its ascending triangle in daily chart.
  • But the fall may not go below 1000. Because of the ascending trend line that has been supporting the stock for several months now.
  • A Break below 1000 could be very negative for the bulls as it means breaking down from the weekly triangle as well.
  • I have given the range of 964 and 1150. The violation of these numbers can only bring an end to this multi month range bound action.
  • RAISING WEDGE OF NIFTY

Nifty daily chart analysis

  • Nifty's raising wedge is shown with upper break out points.
  • According to this today the price should either break out on upside or break the raising wedge's lower boundary to give a short trade.
  • Price again closed between 5 day high and low ema.

July 27, 2010

Negative divergence in Dow Jones

  • There is a small negative divergence developing in Dow Jones
  • But the index is trading at 10600 area from where it went down to 9614.
  • So If the bulls are strong they have to break 10600 and should make a firm close above it, and then the negative divergence will vanish in no time.
  • So from here both trades are possible. wait for proper direction.

Reliance industries Ascending triangle

  • Reliance industries ascending triangle in daily chart.
  • Price is trading near the bottom trend line. Break down of the trend line can pull the stock down to 970 areas.
  • If the trend line gives support the stock can move above 1070 levels in the coming days.
  • NIFTY DAILY CHART ANALYSIS

Nifty daily chart analysis

WEEKLY CHART
  • The raising wedge in daily chart is still valid. the morning may get a minor gap up because of the U.S. markets.
  • But any drastic changes in RBI policy can bring the raising wedge in to action.
  • Nifty closed between 5 day high ema and low ema. 
  • But the index is still trading above its 20 day sma. and as long as it stays above the 20 sma bullish moves are possible.
  • I have also shown the weekly candle. Right now it looks weak but we have four more day's to go in the week and a move above 5450 can turn the candle to a positive one.
  • But staying below 5400 and 5350 will not be good news for the bulls.
  • S&P 500 ANALYSIS AFTER CLOSING BELL