Bears of reliance industries seems to be too strong.
Price continue to go down. Stock is trading below 50 DMA, 20DMA and even 5 day low and high ema's. It is consistently closing below these moving averages.
Since the stock is coming down after breaking a triangle, every rise will be faced with selling pressure as the stock is facing now. Break of 1007 was a great place to short. Again I suggested to go short at 958 in this POST, stock on friday made an intraday low of 946.
Adding to this there are good trend lines have formed as overhead resistance. I have shown it in 2nd chart.
The only hope perhaps for the bulls is the positive divergence that's developing in daily chart which can negate all the negative things that i have mentioned above.
TATA STEEL has been down trend ever since it broke down from the big channel in its daily chart as i have shown in the first chart. And right now there is a continuation pattern developing here. Breakdown of 500 levels and a close below 500 will confirm that.
Stock is in a trading range of 449 to 553. Right now the stock is moving down within this range.
Since the stock is oversold the daily stochastic may give a buy signal by moving above 20% line, combine that with a short term trend line break in daily chart which may give a rally towards the top of the range. Those who are stuck in longs bought at the top of the range can use this to exit.
Stock will not be positive unless it breaks 553 convincingly.
Nifty's negative divergence is starting to show its effect. The channel support line is broken. RSI support line is also broken.
We have a convincing close below 5 day low ema.
Index has closed below 20 day sma. But the down move was halted by the 50 sma on friday. If index continues to trade above 50 sma we may see another up move from here.
The third chart shows the main support line for nifty. The support line will be tested if 50 sma gets broken. If that line gets broken we have a major trend change in nifty daily chart.
A near 2% rally in S&P 500 but still the index remains inside the channel which is trending down. Today's price action may give some hopes for the bulls to try and break out of the channel resistance line on monday. But that is not an easy thing to do especially because of the overhead resistances in the form of 50 DMA and 20 DMA. If there is no follow up buying on monday price will start declining towards the bottom of the channel.
Tata steel line chart looks bearish as the stock has broken down from a channel.
This can also be a bearish flag pattern in daily chart.
Below 500 tata steel stock will face selling pressure.
If the bulls need to come back the stock should trade convincingly above 510. Then the pattern will become a busted pattern which can give a rally on the upside.
For now any rally will face resistance at 510. Below 500 bears will be very safe to hold on to their short positions.
Nifty is trading close to its 20 day moving average.
Index is still trading inside the up trending channel. a daily close below the support line of the channel can give a large correction.
In recent times when ever the index closed below 5 day low ema and 20 day moving average it has managed to make a comeback. But when the trend decides to changes this may not happen. One should trade with caution.