June 6, 2010

TATA STEEL daily chart analysis

  • The first chart shows tata steel breaking down from an upward moving channel.
  • Came down from 700 levels to 470 levels.
  • The stock is trading close to a trend line.
  • It is showing positive divergence although there is no price confirmation of a reversal yet.
  • The stock has to break the trend line and close above the 20 day moving average for a short term buying opportunity.
  • CLICK HERE TO SEE NIFTY DAILY CHART ANALYSIS

RENUKA SUGARS Ltd Approaching Cloud resistance

  • After closing above the 20 day moving average renuka sugars has made a good up move.
  • Now it is approaching the ichi cloud resistance 
  • Any more upsides is possible only if the stock can close above the cloud successfully
  • CLICK HERE TO SEE MY RECENT POST ON RENUKA SUGARS

FALSE BREAKOUTS OF BANK NIFTY

  • Bank nifty has given two false break outs in daily chart.
  • The previous two triangles which broke on the down side ended up as false break outs.
  • The current break out has happened on the upside so will this be a false one as well. Looking at the global markets situation it may en up as another false break out.
  • CLICK HERE TO SEE NIFTY WEEKLY ANALYSIS

June 5, 2010

FALLING WEDGE IN DOW JONES DAILY LINE CHART

  • Dow Jones is forming a falling wedge in its daily line chart.
  • Falling Wedge is a bullish pattern.
  • There are two possibilities
  • 1st one a reversal from 9800 levels.
  • 2nd one a reversal after a false break down of the bottom trend line below 9800.
  • Falling wedge being a bullish pattern and is well formed in the daily chart i am expecting a reversal.

NIFTY WEEKEND ANALYSIS - DAILY CHART


  • NIFTY is trading above its 20 day moving average. But need some more candles to form above the 20 day moving average for bullishness to continue.
  • Nifty hour line chart is forming a rising wedge pattern. If nifty correct from this pattern on monday we have support around 5050.
  • This move is a retracement of the fall from 5399 to 4786. And we are trading above the 50% retracement level. If we don't sustain above 50% levels nifty may go back and retest 38.2% level at 5020.
  • The most important chart is the hourly line chart showing a rising wedge. Dow jones broke down from a similar pattern over night. 
  • Dow broke the rising wedge on opening bell itself and went below some critical support levels CLICK HERE TO SEE THE DOW JONES CHART

DOW JONES ANALYSIS AFTER CLOSING BELL


  • Dow went below 10100 in the opening bell itself. which warned what's about to come.
  • The opening bell took dow outside the rising wedge that gave the short traders good profits.
  • The down trending channel is still intact. Exactly from the top of the channel is were dow came down.
  • Dow jones weekly channel consistantly closed below 5 day EMA which showed no strength returning.
  • The last chart shows what was about to come. The negative divergance even before that near 1000 point move a day the negative divergance was clearly visible in the hourly chart.

SP 500 ANALYSIS AFTER CLOSING BELL

  • SP 500 was not able to close outside the channel
  • got resisted at the top of the channel.
  • See how 20 day moving average is acting as resistance, for the second time the index reacted when it came across the 20 day MA. 
  • 1040 is the las hope for the bulls.