September 6, 2011

US Dollar Breaking resistance line

  • It seems USD may stop only at its 200 DAY SMA.
  • Last attempt to cross 200 SMA resulted in a sell off.
  • We have to see how price behaves at this level this time.

GOLD Trend update

  • Price holding above 20 period moving average will favor bulls for a breakout.
  • Bears should hope for a four hour candle closing below 20 period moving average.
  • USDCHF BREAKOUT

USDCHF Trend line breakout

  • USDCHF has broken its weekly down trend line and it has also violated 20 week moving average.
  • If week manage to close above the TL and 20 WMA then this move will sustain. And will target 50 week moving average which is near 0.9020 levels right now.
  • Long weekly shadow at the bottom of the trend gave warning of a likely change in trend. They say everything is priced in and those who created that long shadow anticipated such a news weeks before it happened.

S&P 500 Futures Trend Update

  • ES staying below 200 period and 50 period moving average for four hour time frame will favor bears in the short term.
  • Yesterdays broken support line is acting as resistance. If this line continues to act as resistance we may see a sell off.
  • SPY VOLUME AND INDICATORS STATUS

NIFTY Channel breakout

CHANNEL BREAKOUT
CHART-I
  • Nifty futures is stuck in a small channel.
  • Price has to move out of this one for bigger moves to happen

BANK NIFTY Futures intraday update

CHART-II
CHART-I
  • Bank Nifty Futures may form a Bullish pattern. 
  • Right Shoulder of IHNS is not yet formed.
  • Breaking below 9278 which is the 50% fib level will make the pattern weak and below 9190 things will favor bears again.

Nifty Futures intraday Update

  • Violation of Fib levels and support levels mentioned in the second chart may give good direction for Nifty Futures
  • BROADENING PATTERN OF NF WAS SHOWN YESTERDAY

NIFTY Daily Analysis

  • 5 Week High ema and 38.2% will act as resistance.
  • 4927 and 5 Day Low ema may act as support.
  • So Violation of these levels may give good direction for nifty.
  • FUTURES OF S&P 500 HAS VIOLATED AN IMPORTANT SUPPORT LINE

CRUDE OIL Trend line break

  • Crude oil has broken its support line 
  • Price is also coming down from 200 SMA which makes it even more difficult to for bulls, Any bounce from here will be a dead cat bounce. It will take a strong bulls to break above the 200 period moving average in the short term.
  • Now there is minor support near 82 levels. Then it will be the test of 79.38, If that level does not hold price may move towards 75.67.
  • Price If gets support near 79.38 levels we may see a bounce towards the broken trend line.