- Silver has violated its 200 SMA.
- Silver bulls now need a close below 200 SMA for bearishness to sustain. Next important support is near 32.50 - 32.90 level.
- GOLD CHART ANALYSIS
My blog Analyses the trend and patterns of stocks, Futures, Commodities and Forex Markets
February 29, 2012
SILVER Chart Analysis
MSFT above Weekly resistance level
- MSFT above weekly resistance levels.
- Month closing above 31.56 will keep the bullishness intact.
- Daily staying above 20 SMA will keep the up trend intact.
- IWM IN A RANGE
CRUDE Oil Channel and Cloud
- Crude oil support at 50 period SMA and Ichimoku cloud.
- Holding above 50 SMA a channel breakout in favor of bulls is possible.
- Crude oil will be weak below 50 Period SMA of four hour chart. Trend will reverse only on braking below the cloud.
- US DOLLAR NEAR SUPPORT LEVELS
NIFTY and India Vix Analysis
INDIA VIX - WEEKLY CHART
- Nifty daily is giving an oversold bounce which may gains strength on closing above 20 day and 10 Day EMA. Daily stochastic is reaching oversold levels which may also given an up move if it starts to move up. Daily MACD remains in a sell signal. Weekly stochastic has given a sell signal But indicator is still above the overbought line which needs to come down for a possible fall in nifty.
- VIX has given a breakout but its missing upward momentum. If it falls back into the pattern it will help nifty bulls for a larger pullback.
- US DOLLAR NEAR SUPPORT LEVELS
US Dollar Near Support levels
- First chart is US Dollar Weekly chart which is near a possible trend line support. Price should hit this line in one or two weeks time.
- Daily is also moving down in a possible falling wedge pattern. I am expecting a failed wedge here - price breaking below the support line and taking support near 200 SMA for completing a reversal. If the wedge works in a conventional way that may also lead to a reversal in US Dollar.
- IWM IN A RANGE
February 28, 2012
S&P 500 Resistance line
- SPX Hour with possible resistance line.
- for the current up move price should hit the resistance line near 1377 - 78 levels.
- for a correction price has to break below the dotted line as shown in the chart.
- Price is staying above the monthly resistance level so the chance of the resistance line getting broken in favor of bulls is there.
GOOGLE above 50 Day SMA
- Google is breaking out of the range and above 50 Day SMA. Bulls of google need a close above 50 Day SMA to extend gains towards the golden ratio and above it.
- Sustaining above 50% Fibonacci levels should take GOOG towards 61.8% Fib level
- SILVER ABOVE RESISTANCE LEVELS
JP Morgan Chase Chart Analysis
- JPM at important levels in week and monthly charts. Price above 50 Week SMA should favor bulls. But price has to cross Weekly cloud and Month middle bollinger band for the up move to gather momentum.
- QQQ TREND UPDATE
Nifty intraday Update
- Nifty bulls has to trade above 20 SMA which is at 5397, Unable to sustain above this level may give selling opportunity for bears again. 38.2% Fib level too is around 5400 level as shown in hourly charts. So a bigger up move possible if nifty trades above these two levels.
- Failing to cross these levels will give a selling opportunity.
NIFTY Chart Analysis
- Nifty MACD sell signal has done well so far. Possible support levels are 200 SMA, 38.2% Fib level and the channel resistance line which may act as support.
- BANK NIFTY CHART
- USDINR HEAD AND SHOULDERS AND 200 SMA
CRUDE OIL trend update
- Crude oil in four hour time frame is getting support from cloud and 100 period SMA. Above these two levels the up trend will be intact.
- daily staying above 10 Day EMA will not give bigger corrections. Price falling below 10 Day EMA may give a correction. If the fall is limited price will give a breakout above the recent high's and move above 111 levels.
February 27, 2012
ES near Range Top
- ES near the top of the range. candle shows good momentum for bulls. Price need to close outside the range for confirming a breakout.
- ES NEAR LOWER BOLLINGER BAND
QQQ Trend Update
- QQQ Continue to get support from 50 Hour SMA and hourly cloud.
- Sustaining above these two levels will keep the up trend intact.
- QQQ TARGET FOR THIS UP TREND
GOLD Trend update
- Gold staying above 1763 will keep the daily up move intact.
- For the day a short trade will be possible below 1761.
- Up move will resume on closing above the hourly cloud.
- SILVER WEEKEND UPDATE
ES Near Lower Bollinger band
- Holding the trend line es may start moving up.
- Breaking below the trend line may find support at 100 Period SMA or Lower Bollinger band. Trend will turn in favor of bears below these levels.
- SILVER WEEKEND UPDATE
- S&P 500 WEEKLY BULLISH CROSSOVER
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